The Forecasters Challenge 2009–final results

TangoTiger.net

I’ve written about Tom Tango’s Forecasters Challenge here before. Tom asked many of us to contribute our preseason rankings of baseball players based on a metric he devised to calculate a player’s contributions on the field. His plan was to run thousands of drafts from these lists. The team that performed best would be judged to be the best, most useful projection system.

There was lots to like in this approach, though as Tom details in the report linked to here, there were also some surprises. He writes about some of the key structural ones, which have led him to run other iterations of the drafts, trying to find a format that gives a more nuanced judgment of the relative lists.

There are three other points that I think should be made.

First, there is a good chance that the weighting between hitting and pitching is off. This is certainly true of my team (which finished fifth of 22 in the original contest). Whether this is because I weighted hitting and pitching the same, which I did, or because I didn’t discount pitchers for their unreliablity, which I didn’t, or because I just undervalued hitters, something was off. Looking at the two components individually, which Tom has said he will do, should help us better understand how the original contest worked.

Secondly, not everyone used straight projections. Some systems weighted for position scarcity. This wasn’t prohibited, so I’m not complaining, but when it comes time to analyze the results it should be understood that in at least a few cases sardines are being compared to mackerels. A simple correlation of all the projections systems to the final actual ranking would be of interest.

Thirdly, as Tom notes about how Marcel handles players with no ML playing time, all systems use a sort of generic noise projection for the marginal players. This means in a correlation study that the noise can overwhelm the estimates of what players expected to have regular playing time will do. For this reason, I don’t think it would be a bad idea for Tom to run the drafts using a 12 or 15 team league format, so that not every projection system is in every league. This would mitigate the problem of small ranking differences being exagerated by the draft procedure, and may give us a better result. His head-to-head matchups are interesting, too, especially since so many ranks changed dramatically, but another angle of analysis on the data would certainly help us figure out what is better.

These notes are not meant to be critical in any way. Tom’s enterprise has thrown off a whole bunch of interesting data, which I hope he will keep returning to all winter long. Once the magazine is done I expect to dig in, too. He deserves a mountain of credit for conceiving this project and seeing it through. Ideally, we’ll be able to do it again next year with a better idea of what we’re going for. Thanks Tom!

Most Valuable Unwanted Hitters

As with the recently posted pitcher’s list, these are the hitters that went unwanted by Patton and Fenger in this week’s software release with the highest projected value (by me).

  • Norris Hopper, CIN
  • Joe Koshansky, COL
  • Ryan Raburn, DET
  • Brian Barton, STL
  • Michael Aubrey, CLE
  • Frank Catalanotto, TEX
  • Oscar Salazar, BAL
  • Johnny Estrada, FA
  • Brian Barden, STL

A much different sort of list than the pitchers. I’m not sure what that means. Maybe those guys are expecting the young hitters to make their teams and be eligible, unlike the pitchers.

For a change of pace, here is a list of the guys they give prices to, that I haven’t been able to bring myself to make projections for:

  • Henry Blanco, SD
  • Brad Wilkerson, BOS
  • So Taguchi, CHN
  • Raul Casanova, NYN
  • Chris Gomez, BAL
  • Jolbert Cabrera, BAL
  • Jason Lane, TOR
  • Angel Pagan, NYN
  • Kevin Cash, NYA

If these guys are still in the running for jobs next Friday they will get projections.

Top Earning Pitchers with No Bid Price

I’m working on this week’s update for the Patton $ Software and Data and found a category that might be of interest. These are the pitchers that neither Alex nor Michael have put bid prices on, who I have given the highest valued projections. I guess this is really a reflection of my prejudices this year filtered by Alex and Mike’s bids. If they think they’ll be around on draft day they aren’t on this list:

  • Tommy Hunter, TEX
  • Ben Sheets, FA (Texas likely)
  • Wade Davis, TB
  • Jeff Neimann, TB
  • Daryl Thompson, CIN
  • Ian Kenneday, NYA
  • Kevin Mulvey, MIN
  • Jon Niese, NYN
  • Tommy Hanson, ATL
  • Anthony Swarzak, MIN
  • Kyle McClellan, STL
  • Casey Janssen, TOR
  • Dustin Mosely, ANA
  • Eduardo Morlan, TB

Make of this what you will. Or can.

Fantasy Baseball internet radio by Jeff Erickson

BlogTalkRadio

In about 45 minutes I’ll be on Jeff Erickson’s Fantasy Focus radio show, on blogtalkradio.com. I’ll let you guess what we’re going to talk about. If you get here late, the program is also a podcast, which should live on forever. Classic.

Here’s the show:

We had decided to talk about wonky subjects, which was fine by me. I’m resistent to the whole “who’s your best sleeper” approach to the radio. I have a few elaborations.

In NL and AL only leagues position scarcity gets figured in if you properly price your players using the proper pool. That is, you give everyone their relative price and you find that you only have 10 positive values for catchers, and you need 24/26. You delete all the other players with positive and negative values who aren’t catchers, until the 24/26 catchers are in your pool, and then reallocate the money, making the last catcher worth a buck. Catchers alone don’t get all the benefit of scarcity.

The same holds true in Mixed Leagues, but there are two differences. It’s much harder to draw the line at the bottom, so it’s a little haphazard who makes the draft list and who doesn’t when the catchers are added. And, mixed league prices aren’t linear, so the best players get paid more for being reliable and better than the abundantly replaceable players in the middle and bottom. So the best catchers’ prices go up because they’re the best, period, as well as because they’re catchers. I’m not sure how you would go about quantifying this. I guess aggregated real world results compared to linear prices would get you part way.

As to rules, I don’t have a dog in any rules fight. I think players should play a game that satisfies them and makes them happy. It’s fine if you want to promote dump trading, and it is equally fine to squelch it. I discuss different rules and wrinkles with an eye to solving problems people are having in their leagues, which doesn’t make them happy.

The sleepers I wrote down before the show were Cincinnati’s Ramon Ramirez and the Cardinals’ Joe Mather. You can find more at pattonandco.com.

About The Guide 2009

The last post I wrote was about the Fantasy Baseball Guide 2009, of which I’m the editor. I think we create an excellent preseason fantasy preview that also has, unlike nearly every other fantasy mag, value all season long. When a guy gets called up in midseason there’s a good chance he’ll be in the Guide.

The Guide also has last year’s Games Played by Position data (major leagues and minor), which you won’t find anywhere else in such easy format (for the 1500+ players included in the Guide).

I also want to point out that the Guide is a fantasy product that is fact based. The arguments made for and against players are based on information that is divulged as the argument is made. A lot of the world of baseball happens randomly, a great deal of the game’s outcomes are random, but that shouldn’t be an excuse for spouting. Maybe it’s a style thing, but I hate guys (always guys) shouting at me about what matters.

What matters isn’t shouting.

Thanks for listening, Peter.

Ps. The Guide has perceptive player profiles, the picks and pans of many industry lights, my bid prices (far in advance of the season) and access via the link in the editor’s letter to updated projections (which are way better than the mechanical projections we can do in November) and prices on the website. Plus strategy pieces from experts who won tough leagues, about how they did it. And the Creativesports.com Mock Draft, which saddled me with the first pick this year. I went with Pujols, though that isn’t the consensus choice. But that’s why we do it.

Ask Rotoman :: The Season is Done

Ask Rotoman :: My drafting is done.

The link is to my preseason post auction look at my American Dream League team. Rereading it now I have to say that if you’d told me that Josh Hamilton would be great, that Gavin Floyd would be very good and that Edwin Jackson wouldn’t suck, that Justin Duchscherer would almost lead the league in ERA, that K-Rod would set a saves record, that Joe Mauer would lead the AL in batting average, that Milton Bradley would lead the AL in OBP, I would have been very happy.

If you’d told me that I was able to trade Richie Sexson for Asdrubal Cabrera (who was awfully good from mid-August on), that I’d be able to trade both my closers for a hitter and a pitcher (though neither was great) and still finish tied for third in saves, that Glen Perkins came off my reserve list and did a very creditable job until mid-September, I’d have been ecstatic.

How did I finish 8th? Two black holes: I spent $28 on Travis Hafner and he earned -$4. I spent $33 on Justin Verlander and he earned -$4, too. That’s -$67 I needed to make up just to get to even, from my two most expensive players.

Josh Hamilton earned a profit of $18. Duchscherer earned a profit of $12. Gavin Floyd earned a profit of $15. Francisco Rodriguez earned a proft of $22. That gets us to $67. It took my four best buys to wipe out the misery of my two worst buys.

After that things reverse. Milton Bradley earned a profit of $18. Joe Mauer earned a profit of $6. Torii Hunter earned a profit of $7. Okay, up $31. But… Juan Uribe lost $8, Brad Wilkerson lost $11, Reggie Willets lost $8, and some costly pitching stints from Andy Pettitte, Livan Hernandez and Jason Jennings wiped out the rest.

In a winning season not all the pieces click, but you just can’t have your best picks be offset by disasters. In this case I blame my opponents, who drove up the price of power hitting to such a level that I had almost no choice but to spend ridiculously on Hafner, though he came with risk. I can only blame myself for Verlander. He looked like the best available starter to me then, and he still does now. But clearly I was wrong.

The irony was that in 2007 I picked the right stud pitcher in this league, Johan Santana, and the wrong cheap guys, Cliff Lee and John Danks, who this year earned $40 and $16 respectively.

(For the record, ADL was won by Steven Levy, who had good freezes but then made great choices all draft long. Others in the money, in order, were Alex Patton/Bruce Berensmann, Michael Walsh and Walter Shapiro.)

In the other leagues:

Tout Wars was a disaster. An impressive run of injuries early, some savvy rejiggering in the middle kept me in the middle, but the pitching staff fell apart in August and September. The bad finish is in part a tribute to a Go for it trade in June that didn’t work out all the way, but this was a doomed season healthwise for this team. (First place went to Mike Lombardo for the third time in four years. He’s a great player. Second went to Glenn Colton.)

Rotoman’s Regulars is a format (20 team Yahoo) that bewilders me. I finished third three years ago but the last two years have been a disaster, mostly because I don’t know how to churn good guys off my roster to pick up guys who are playing better. Some of this is about attention, some of it is about temperment. Some of it is about a bad draft (did I really take Andruw Jones and Kelvim Escobar?) I think for 2009 I will be hosting the league, maybe I’ll even be the commish, but I’m not going to play in it again. Too painful, but a great game and an excellent format. (The winner was frequent Guide contributor JD Bolick. Runner up was Eun Park, who won the league in its first year.)

XFL is a 15 team mixed league with an auction in November and a 17 round reserve draft in March. We were in a rebuilding year (it’s a keeper league) but I had an awesome auction and not a bad draft, and we finished fourth. My partner, Alex, thought this was a bottom of the standings team, but he didn’t see the blooming of Youkilis and Jose Lopez and the continued excellence of Bobby Abreu and Randy Winn (this league uses OBP rather than BA). (Steve Moyer finished first, going away, with Doug Dennis and Trace Wood somewhat behind after swapping places daily until a week ago.)

All in all a dismal season for me. Not the other guys.

For those who’ve asked, I’m working very hard on a video about butterflies that will be done very soon. Work on the magazine is underway. There will eventually be real content on this page again. This year, with no weekly gig, I spent less time writing and way more time managing my teams, which I thought would be good. Fail! We’ll see how it works out next year.

Thanks for reading.

Dealing from the basement

Tout Wars NL-Only League – Joe Sheehan

Somebody has to be in last place, even in an expert league, and the usual reason (in an expert league) is the last place team suffered an inordinate number of injuries. It can be argued that avoiding injuries is a skill, at least sometimes, but most injuries are pretty random. This is especially true in auction leagues, where at least two people agree on each player’s fair (including injury risk) price.

Joe Sheehan’s Tout Wars piece this week (like all of this remarkable series running on Sportsline) describes his measured plan to climb out of the basement. One of his prime motivations, it seems, was to not break the Ask Rotoman record for worst finish in Tout Wars AL!

Reading this, I was stunned. I reeled. I rocked. I’ve had some bad years, but I didn’t know that I held the record for worst finish ever (I’m pretty sure this is in the AL version of the league). Then I remembered: The year was 2000. The draft was in Chicago. I couldn’t attend and I asked a guy who wrote for my magazine that year to represent Ask Rotoman.

Over the years there have been some bad Rotoman teams, and I was responsible for all of them, except that record breaker. For the record.

My drafting is done.

Yesterday the American Dream League members commenced their 27th Rotisserie baseball season with the auction at the venerable O’Reilly’s Irish Bar on 31st Street in New York City.

The ADL is the toughest league I know. Members include my buddy Alex Patton, inventor of Patton Dollars and Stage 3 Hell (which wasn’t in evidence yesterday), Peter Golenbock, prolific baseball and sports writer, Les Leopold, who dragged me into the fantasy baseball writing business as the projections guy for Golenbock’s annual “How to Win at Rotisserie Baseball,” which Les did most of the roto analysis for. Those are the fantasy pros.

Other players include Mark Starr, a sportswriter (among other things) at Newsweek, Steven Levy, the technology writer at Newsweek until just recently, when he moved to Wired, Walter Shapiro, Washington chief for Salon.com, Michael Walsh, a former Time music writer, novelist, screenwriter, small arms expert, Mark Goodman, former Time film critic, novelist, journalist and recently political writer, Mark Jurkowitz, a long time media critic, Steve Stoneburn, a publisher of magazines, a lover of Jayhawks, and Bruce Buschel, a playwright, journalist, jazz documentarian, and the owner of one of the wickedest whiffle curves you’ve ever seen.

Plus he can control it.

I bring all this up out of vanity. It was an intimidating auction I stepped in to back in 1992 (did I mention that I was invited into the league after they kicked Hugh Sweeney–yeah, the guy the Sweeney Plan is named after–out of the league?), and it has never become less so. These are smart guys who play hard with sharp elbows. You have to love it.

This year the Bad Kreuznachs entered the auction with a decent list of keepers, but with the problem that they were nearly all outfielders.

Maicer Izturis $5–Not an outfielder, and not named the starter at SS until the day after the auction. Whew.

Chone Figgins $19–He was cheap last year because he was hurt to start the season. He came back early, played incredibly well, and is a great bargain this year. You can’t count on anything close to last year’s average, but it will be a plus, as will the steals.

Torii Hunter $20–I traded for Hunter last year trying to add homers or something, but that was yesterday. At the end of the day (my run for the crown ended in a tie for fourth) Hunter became a nice keep to pick up.

Emil Brown $3–For some reason Emil was out of favor in KC last year, and trade bait to boot. He ended up not being traded and not being used that much. Not a bad player at $3 but a lot of potential squandered. The A’s seem to see that, as long as they can overlook his baserunning (yikes!), and with enough AB he becomes a great bargain this year.

Brad Wilkerson $8–The day after I froze him the M’s announced he’d be platooning with Mike Morse. If the days off keep him healthy I’m all for it. I worry more about the ballpark. If he doesn’t get his share of jacks, his bad BA overwhelms his other production.

Milton Bradley $11–Awfully frail, but generally he earns this. And he doesn’t seem to be a slacker, when he isn’t getting into tussles that is. In a good park to hit, with his career on the line, I’m smart enough not to drool. But I want to.

Okay, those are the keeps. With a solid foundation in speed, fairly cheap, the mission was to accumulate AB and HR. Despite Figgins big year with BA in 2007, this wasn’t a good BA team, and so I decided to ignore that as much as I could. But I also didn’t want to chuck it all, because as Figgins showed last year, a good run can make a world of difference. Which is why I went…

Joe Mauer $22–This was my inflated price for him. He’s lacking in power or speed in the big sense, but for a catcher he brings some of both and a reliably (I stupidly hope) good batting average to earn his way. The danger is his injury history. I had him priced at $22, so I just hope he plays. I’ll take par.

Jamie Burke $1–End game catcher who shouldn’t kill the BA, might add a smidge of power, a player I really hope doesn’t matter.

Travis Hafner $26–I discovered within minutes of the start of the draft that power was king. Starting pitchers didn’t escalate the way I thought they might, and my savvy opponents didn’t chase speed simply because there wasn’t much of it (all of it was frozen except Carl Crawford and a lot of parttimers). I had Hafner at $24, he qualified at 1B in our league, he might not in yours, and the little bump seemed like a win.

Richie Sexson $14–Same verse again as Hafner. I wanted homers. There weren’t many out there. Sexson has hit a lot of them. Last year was so awful I’m counting on a bounceback. When he started talking about how he was hurt last year I bought in. My fingers are crossed.

Juan Uribe $11–In AL leagues a major issue is there aren’t enough shortstops. In the second half of the draft I identified a few who would be worth something like $8, well above my $4 bid prices. These were guys like Uribe and David Eckstein. I was targeting power, so I was looking for Uribe, but when Eckstein went for $12 I knew I was screwed. I was going to have to pay whatever for Uribe. Whatever was $11. If he plays I’ll be glad for the homers, and it will be fine, but it’s too high a price for a guy who might not play that much when the day is done.

Anthony Callaspo $2–Endgame middle infielder probably isn’t going to push Esteban German aside, but the out of season chatter was that the Royals might deal German. Even so, Callaspo doesn’t run and has no power, even though he can hit.

Josh Hamilton $26–I’d been advising people to pay $18 for Hamilton, what he earned last year, even though I knew they’d pay more for the possibility of more. When Hamilton came out in this draft lots of players were gone, and while there was still plenty of meat out there, Hamilton was the guy who might surprise. I got in a pissing match with Patton, and when it was over I felt I’d won despite the price. It was a situation decision, not one based on budget. If Hamilton earns his share, and he certainly could, I should have an incredible offense.

Reggie Willets $3–The real endgame, here’s a guy who earned real money last year, playing behind a bunch of guys who make it seem likely he won’t get much playing time this year. Which crushes his price. I won’t claim he’s a bargain, but he’s been a ML regular. For $3 I’ll be happy to be wrong.

I started the auction with no starting pitching, and almost all the good starters except Verlander and Bedard kept. I toyed with not spending any money on starters, but given my good freeze list I decided that it would be dumm to dump two categories in the auction. So I competed.

Justin Verlander $33–He was the best available starter and I had him at an inflated price of $36. Closed.

Justin Duchscherer $10–I have him well at a price in line with the prices I’ve been seeing, though a bit higher than I thought he’d go. At that point in the draft he looked like one of the more reliable pitchers left, incredibly enough. A risky pick, but when I took him I thought he’d go another bump.

Edwin Jackson $3–Looked good this spring. Was pretty decent the last two months last year. He was once a phenom. All that adds up to me that he’s worth a gamble.

Jason Jennings $2–Last year’s meltdown destroyed his rep, but he pitched very effectively in Colorado the year before. If he’s functioning I think I’m going to be awfully glad I have him.

Gavin Floyd $1–I thought I’d have to spend $3, but it worked out. He’s had a good spring, he has pedigree, and I’m not looking too closely because if I did I’d be rocking my head in despair. He’s a flyer I’m glad I got.

Francisco Rodriguez $22–I was pretty much price enforcing when KRod went for $22. I started writing about the collapse of closer prices years ago, but the trend continues. I’m not sure it’s so wise anymore to pass closers by completely, when prices are so low compared to the benefits, but this is the market working out what the real value of the saves guy is.

CJ Wilson $12–There weren’t many good closer alternatives left when I exercised my topper option on Wilson, turning an $11 bid into $12. He’s the Texas closer for now. He’s got the wrong arm, but he’s got great stuff. I picked him off the waiver wire last year, which is why I own his Topper now. The alternative in Texas right now isn’t clear.

Eddie Guardado $2–Which is why I bought one of the best alternatives. Guardado was lights out in September last year. That tells me his arm is okay, though age and history argue against him.

Jamie Walker $3–Another topper, mainly by default. He’s a very good but aging pitcher who is unlikely to get a meaningful role. But I controlled him and I’m not sure of George Sherrill in the closer role. Walker is one alternative, so adding him seemed like a plan, at least.

Is this a winning team? I think it stands a better chance of not winning a championship because I spent too much on Hamilton. But on the other hand, this is a team with strong strengths, plus Josh Hamilton. He could be a plus, despite his price. I hope so.

Tout Wars NL–Rotoman’s Team

Zoho Sheet – 13_team

These are random notes on the Peter Kreutzer entry in this year’s Tout Wars NL. The idea is to give some context for the picks, why I made the final bid and when, plus any other tidbits along the way.

The big issue in this draft was that prices were generally right on. Only a few players (Chris Snyder, Ty Wigginton, Yunel Escobar, Lastings Milledge) ended up more than a few dollars off my bid prices. So in most cases the bidding quickly got to the area of the price, and then it just depended if two guys wanted to swap bids or not at that point.

Before Tout I make up a list of players I’d like at my prices that add up to the $260 budget, and I try to work from that. In the NL in recent years there are lots of stars but very little depth among hitters. I targetted Troy Tulowitzki and Brandon Phillips and held out some hope to pick up David Wright, though my $41 target was not aggressive.

Wright was nominated first and almost immediately went to $42 and I opted not to go past my budget. I did pick up Tulowitzky for $27 and could have made a bid on Phillips at $30, but I flinched and he went for $29. As I didn’t make that bid it ran through my mind I had him elsewhere, and I didn’t really want to make commitment bets in two leagues on him, though I think he’s no fluke.

On the pitching side I wanted to take many mid-teen potential aces with some level of injury discount. The odd thing is that the first one I bought was Carlos Zambrano. I have injury built into his projection and bid price, which is unusual, yet when I was price enforcing at $20 he became mine. Okay.

Enough prelude, here’s the team in position order.

Catchers: Dave Ross $3 and Eric Munson $2. The good catchers went for decent prices (Martin $26, McCann $18, both to Mike Lombardo, current champ), while the riskier mediocre hitters (Carlos Ruiz $11, Michael Barrett $9) went for too much. Ross and Munson went for too much but at that point I had the cash and the pickins were awfully thin. One hopes for just enough AB to get some positive power numbers.

Corners: Todd Helton $19, Chad Tracy $5, Ian Stewart $1. Helton was a good price early, I thought. Tracy will start the year on the DL, but at that price he can miss some time and I’ll be okay. The collapse of talent at 3B was a problem. Mark Reynolds and Nomar went cheaply ($8 and $4 respectively) but I let them go, and Kouzmanoff ($19) and Wigginton and Yunel Escobar went for a lot, so I let them go.

Middle: Tulowitzky went for his price. I like Miguel Tejada for $19, like I like Helton. Tad Iguchi for $8 is a good price, those his power will be neutralized a bit in that ballpark. Reyes went for $44, Ramirez for $40, and Rollins for $36.

Outfield: Juan Pierre at $16 wasn’t a buy I ever expected to make, but the price is good enough, I needed speed, and we get to keep his stats if he were to end up in the AL. Brad Hawpe at $23 is a fair enough price for another guy I have no shine for. I did like that he was a Rockie. Adam Dunn at $23 is a good price for a big power hitter, especially since I seemed to be compiling a team that didn’t value batting average much. Corey Patterson at $15 is the speed version of Dunn and one hopes that they don’t crash into each other chasing a short pop up. Final outielder, as it were, was Cody Ross, who should end up the regular center fielder in Miami. A regular (or close to it) for $3 can’t be bad, even though Ross isn’t all that good.

Utility: I had $4 and one slot left and it was my turn to nominated. Scott Podsednick has been having a good spring, and like so many of my players is a Rockie. It’s a shot.

Starters: Zambrano is joined by Pedro Martinez ($14) and Ben Sheets ($15), who are both having strong springs. The injury risk is high, which is why I could afford the three of them. If two play most of the season I should be okay. Noah Lowry $1 and Ryan Dempster $1 were crickets. I didn’t expect to get Lowry. He’s hurt and his WHIP may be especially painful coupled with Zambrano’s when he ‘s healthy. Dempster is having an excellent spring adjusting to starting. Final two slots went to Chuck James $3, also hurting but talented and supposedly coming back, and Carlos Villanueva $6, who has been very good the last two years, but has been squeezed this spring, perhaps it turns out all the way to Triple-A because he has an option. But with Capuano’s injury and I hope not Sheets’ he’ll see plenty of time Milwaukee.

Closers: Takashi Saito $22 was at the top end of the top prices for closers, as I had him rated. But I had him for $27, so he seemed like a bargain until all the other closers sold for similar prices. The closer game is kind of like a draft. We each take one really good one, one risky one, and perhaps a CIW. My risky closer is Kerry Wood $10, who has looked good this spring, but like so much of this team, comes with upside and injury potential intertwined.

Reserves: I got Mike Hampton (injury prone, having a nice spring) in the first round, shoring up one of my problem areas. In later rounds I got Yusmiero Petit, having a breakout kind of spring, Jonathan Meloan, in Triple-A but will end up in the bullpen at some point behind Saito, Joe Koshansky, as some overreaching Helton insurance, and Chris Sampson and Victor Diaz, late in the game, just because you can’t too many pitchers or outfielders.

After the draft Corey Schwartz told me that my team finished, based on his projections, in a three way tie for second. There is a lot of work to do, and injuries will be an issue (hopefully a manageable one), but this is the start.

NL Tout Wars – How I did

Rotojunkie

Jason Collette found me in the lobby of a hotel that says it’s in Times Square but is actually between Bryant Park and Herald Square, and got me to the right floor, for which I’m thankful. He’s also the only Tout NLer to post a draft summary so far, which gives him dibs on the narrative.

You can find the whole results at the Tout Wars site.

I’ll explain my team here tomorrow.