4333551

Salmon is another guy who has been so bad that his owners may deal him cheaply in frustration. Which makes him a worthwhile pickup if you need to make risky plays to get back into it the second half.

On the other hand, he has been so bad that there may be something seriously wrong here. He can’t really be worse in the second half, but that doesn’t mean that he’s sure to bounce back.

MLB Player News

4333496

Carlos Febles was demoted today. He was one of my picks to click this year, but after partially tearing a ligament in his knee he never got started after 44 days on the DL.

He has shown absolutely no capacity to stay healthy in the big leagues, but he is immensely talented. The original prognosis after the tear was for a return after the All Star Break. If you’re in need of some second half fire I think he’s a guy who might come cheap and then burn it up for a month or two. But he’s extremely risky and could easily reaggravate the knee and choose surgery sooner rather than later.

If you’re in dire straits and need to make some desperation plays, he’s your guy.

MLB Player News

4260193

For the last two years I’ve pointed out that Dave Mlicki has pitched much better after a midseason trade twice than he has at any other time in his career. Nonetheless I’ve owned him for the last two years in the American Dreams League and been killed by him pretty consistently.

Now, following a deal, he’s throwing his best game of the year. I can’t in good conscience recommend him if you value your ERA and Ratio, but I think I’m going to make a FAAB bid on him in Tout Wars this week. Something about standing behind what I write.

I wish I’d done that in the ADL.

ESPN.com: MLB Boxscore: Houston vs. Arizona

4235976

Rob Neyer wonders about the Rocker-Karsay deal. Like, Why?

The answer, of course, is contract status. Neither Karsay, Wickman nor Reed is signed past the end of this year.

Rocker is arbitration eligible, but under the current agreement is tied to the Indians for four more years.

4205976

Wow. Last week I wrote to someone, not a member I don’t think, that the odds of Rocker getting dealt were short. It could happen, I said, but there is no profit to be taken by acting as if it will.

MLB Player News

Well, now that it’s happened, NL Only players have to figure out what’s going to happen.

My take: Karsay is the Braves’ closer now. He probably won’t work much on successive days, so Kerry Ligtenberg, Mike Remlinger and Jose Cabrera might get some save chances. But Karsay has done it before, has been having a fine season and should equal or better Rockers’ numbers from here on out.

Cleveland is the more difficult situation to assess. John Hart says that Rocker is the closer and Bob Wickman, who has done a very good job, will be the setup man and get a few chances to save games.

Charlie Manuel says, “I’ve got a right-handed closer and a left-handed closer. They’ll both get plenty of opportunities.”

For those on the FAAB front, both Rocker and Karsay become all-in plays this week.

Leadoff Notes

There’s something weird going on when Paul LoDuca and Jeffrey Hammonds both see lead off duty in the same week. Only Craig Biggio’s return to the top of the order (and subsequent homer) is keeping the universe from warping back in on itself.

No one knows what will happen if that happens, but some speculate that more and more people will laugh like Tommy Lasorda. Spare us that, Larry D!

I love reading my box scores online at night, but I’m always amused at what’s missing. Seeing this Milwaukee box my first reaction was: Did they bring the mercy rule to the majors?

It’s about time.

ESPN.com: MLB Boxscore: Milwaukee vs. St. Louis

Travis Phelps

Who the hell is Phelps?

Those waiting for the other shoe to drop on Yan are barking up the wrong tree. Phelps is a soft tossing know-it-all who may eke out a big league career because he is capable of adapting. As long as he’s not asked to blow people away.

He came in to pitch the 8th with a 3 run lead, did a good job and got left in when the 9th inning became a non-save situation when the DRays scored one in the 9th.

Phelps is not a guy to pick up as a replacement for Yan.

ESPN.com: MLB Boxscore: Tampa Bay vs. Oakland

3811063

Every time Marquis Grissom hits a homer I recall the guff I took about my Grissom prediction. And I recall how I backed off my original call but just kept kicking and screaming about Marquis being a sleeper.

He’s got nine homers now. I thought it might be a good time to compare the prediction with the reality.

I predicted:

MARQUIS GRISSOM LA N 270 75 38 7 30 8 .278 $5

So far:

MARQUIS GRISSOM LA N 102 28 21 8 16 3 .275 $15

Ugh, I hate when that happens. At the last moment I revised Grissom downwards. Hunch or not I couldn’t rationally see where the AB were going to come. So I busted him down from $13 to $5.

The thing of it is that $5 was probably enough to get him. He went for $2 in Tout Wars. Nice buy Rob Leibowitz.

Never again am I reconsidering anything.

Thank you.

Re: Grissom trade