ESPN.com: MLB – Wednesday’s roundup: Piazza out with knee injury

ESPN.com: MLB – Wednesday’s roundup: Piazza out with knee injury

Yeah, Piazza’s hurt. But he’ll be back in a day or two. The real story is Brooks Kieschnick, who was sent to Triple-A to start the season, got bombed as a pitcher, was oh-fer-nine as a hitter, and still got promoted.

It seems like a great story until the line that goes ” He is the first major league player to make the switch since Ron Mahay, an outfielder with Boston in 1995 before pitching for four major league teams from 1997 to 2002.”

I mean, Mahay was a good story until he actually started pitching, and then it was a simply a race who would appear in the bigs last: Mahay or Ricky Bones.

And doesn’t it seem curious that there was no talk ever of using Mahay as a pinch-hitter, the way Kieschnick’s versatility seems so integral a part of the Brewers’ plan?

Banks Shot By Eric� Umansky

Politics

I’ve been away, and away for the most part from my computer. I return with all kinds of issues, most of which have nothing to do with baseball.

The above link takes you to Eric Umansky’s excellent Today’s Papers column at Slate.com. Umansky, and a team of others, survey the news coverage of the NY Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, LA Times and USA Today, each day. They do so with wit and vigor and it’s well worth reading.

Today Umansky writes about the Henry Blodgett-Jack Grubman settlement with the SEC. While the numbers are huge, what is most striking is that these guys have agreed not to work in the securities industry again.

Not that they need to, I’m sure. Grubman recently got into trouble for solicting a $1M contribution to the preschool of the 92nd Street Y here in NYC, to get his child into the school.

I guess what stuns me is that so much of the mythology of recent times is thoroughly tainted by the lies of the actors involved. I think most people knew that the sky-high valuations of the stock market then were inflated. That the system was operating under a pervasive system of lies and manipulations wasn’t as obvious, but it becomes increasingly clear that it was.

There is another skein of lying that deserves notice. Paul Krugman writes in today’s NY Times about the lies that got the American public to back the invasion of Iraq. I’m going to provoke the wrath of the NY Times legal department by reprinting the article here, rather than linking to it. You should register for the NY Times on line, but it’s way more important you read this:

OP-ED COLUMNIST
Matters of Emphasis
By PAUL KRUGMAN

We were not lying,” a Bush administration official told ABC News. “But it was just a matter of emphasis.” The official was referring to the way the administration hyped the threat that Saddam Hussein posed to the United States. According to the ABC report, the real reason for the war was that the administration “wanted to make a statement.” And why Iraq? “Officials acknowledge that Saddam had all the requirements to make him, from their standpoint, the perfect target.”

A British newspaper, The Independent, reports that “intelligence agencies on both sides of the Atlantic were furious that briefings they gave political leaders were distorted in the rush to war.” One “high-level source” told the paper that “they ignored intelligence assessments which said Iraq was not a threat.”

Sure enough, we have yet to find any weapons of mass destruction. It’s hard to believe that we won’t eventually find some poison gas or crude biological weapons. But those aren’t true W.M.D.’s, the sort of weapons that can make a small, poor country a threat to the greatest power the world has ever known. Remember that President Bush made his case for war by warning of a “mushroom cloud.” Clearly, Iraq didn’t have anything like that � and Mr. Bush must have known that it didn’t.

Does it matter that we were misled into war? Some people say that it doesn’t: we won, and the Iraqi people have been freed. But we ought to ask some hard questions � not just about Iraq, but about ourselves.

First, why is our compassion so selective? In 2001 the World Health Organization � the same organization we now count on to protect us from SARS � called for a program to fight infectious diseases in poor countries, arguing that it would save the lives of millions of people every year. The U.S. share of the expenses would have been about $10 billion per year � a small fraction of what we will spend on war and occupation. Yet the Bush administration contemptuously dismissed the proposal.

Or consider one of America’s first major postwar acts of diplomacy: blocking a plan to send U.N. peacekeepers to Ivory Coast (a former French colony) to enforce a truce in a vicious civil war. The U.S. complains that it will cost too much. And that must be true � we wouldn’t let innocent people die just to spite the French, would we?

So it seems that our deep concern for the Iraqi people doesn’t extend to suffering people elsewhere. I guess it’s just a matter of emphasis. A cynic might point out, however, that saving lives peacefully doesn’t offer any occasion to stage a victory parade.

Meanwhile, aren’t the leaders of a democratic nation supposed to tell their citizens the truth?

One wonders whether most of the public will ever learn that the original case for war has turned out to be false. In fact, my guess is that most Americans believe that we have found W.M.D.’s. Each potential find gets blaring coverage on TV; how many people catch the later announcement � if it is ever announced � that it was a false alarm? It’s a pattern of misinformation that recapitulates the way the war was sold in the first place. Each administration charge against Iraq received prominent coverage; the subsequent debunking did not.

Did the news media feel that it was unpatriotic to question the administration’s credibility? Some strange things certainly happened. For example, in September Mr. Bush cited an International Atomic Energy Agency report that he said showed that Saddam was only months from having nuclear weapons. “I don’t know what more evidence we need,” he said. In fact, the report said no such thing � and for a few hours the lead story on MSNBC’s Web site bore the headline “White House: Bush Misstated Report on Iraq.” Then the story vanished � not just from the top of the page, but from the site.

Thanks to this pattern of loud assertions and muted or suppressed retractions, the American public probably believes that we went to war to avert an immediate threat � just as it believes that Saddam had something to do with Sept. 11.

Now it’s true that the war removed an evil tyrant. But a democracy’s decisions, right or wrong, are supposed to take place with the informed consent of its citizens. That didn’t happen this time. And we are a democracy � aren’t we?

League Home

XFL League Home

I’ve played in LABR and Tout Wars on and off since they began. Sometimes with Alex Patton and sometimes not. And sometimes I’ve (and we) have had pretty good teams (we had a string of second place finishes) and sometimes I have had some bad teams (I’d hate to include Alex in those forgettable squads, if he wasn’t).

But never have we had a team quite like the one we have this year in the kind of goofy mixed league Ron Shandler set up to amuse all us old time roto players. That is, those of us who were writing about the game before the internet took over. I won’t go into the details, you can read them at the www.fantasyxperts.com site, but a look at these standings will tell you why I’m pleased as punch I asked Alex to draft my team for me.

And why Alex, who wasn’t all that keen on being a manager, is now a very proud owner of the pattonandco.com XFL team.

It’s early yet. We could easily end up in 8th place. But so far it’s kind of amazing fun, with our friends bouncing haplessly from second to seventh to eleventh, day after day, while we float imperiously above it all.

Which is why I’m feeling confident enough to take a necessary break. I may show up here in the next few days, but if I don’t please don’t be surprised. The intermittent maunderings and meanderings of Rotoman here and at the discussion group, will resume around May Day. Or so.

I’ll miss you.

April 14, 2003

April 14, 2003

These promos for ESPN magazine (there are a lot of them) are some of the worst ad copy I’ve ever read. It isn’t that they eschew grammar, which they do, or that they break rules, which really is fine, but that they lack rhythm, style, sense, and any sense of coherence.

Amazingly bad stuff.

Rotoworld.com

Rotoworld.com–Juan Encarnacion

A minor quibble. The writer says that Encarnacion, who has 8 steals so far, might steal 30 bases if he stays on this pace. But the season is just a little more than three weeks old. Which means that 3/26ths of all games have been played.

I do some rough math and I find that Encarnacion, if he stays on this pace, might steal 60 bases, which would make him a roto stud. I don’t think he will, but I have no doubt he could, and hit 20 homers, too.

ESPN.com – MLB – Box Score

ESPN.com – MLB – Colorado Philadelphia box score

It’s funny. There’s a new Ask Rotoman column posted at mlb.com today, linked to on the fantasy page. One of the quickies is about Kevin Millwood, in which i suggest that some of his early problems may be the result of his defense trying to figure out how to play behind him. That’s because so far his interior numbers (especially ground out to fly out ratio) look similar to last year, but the results have been different.

It’s early yet, so the difference could be meaningless, but someone asked and that seems like a possible explanation.

Oddly, tonight he’s getting lots of outs, not by striking guys out but by having them hit fly balls. Maybe that’s because Rockies hitters tend to try to hit the ball in the air, or it may just be a matter of luck. This is a ridiculously small sample size. But it’s something to bear watching as we follow Millwood this year.

ESPN.com – MLB – Box Score

ESPN.com–Michael Young out on strikes

It turned out not to be an important AB, but in the eighth inning last night Michael Young came up and worked the count full. The payoff pitch was clearly many inches off the plate. Young started to throw his bat toward the dugout, in order to march to first base, but was instead called out.

ESPN showed that doojiggy computer graphic that shows where the ball is when it reaches home plate, and it showed the ball well outside. They also showed the shot from the high-home camera, which also clearly placed the ball well off the plate.

The call was so bad that the youngster Young actually turned to the umpire and talked to him heatedly, though he didn’t show him up and he didn’t get tossed. It did no immediate good, of course, and instead of Texas having two men on with one out, they had one man on with two outs, a substantial difference.

The point here isn’t that an umpire blew a call, that happens, but that we appear to have technology now that can pretty reliably call balls and strikes. Of course the umps are resistent to this technology. It threatens their jobs.

As we learn more and more about how the game of baseball works, it becomes more and more clear that the game turns on balls and strikes, and that the count confers a crucial advantage to either the pitcher or hitter. At some point it’s not going to be good enough to have the umpires get it right 85% of the time, or even 95%, or to bring their own idiosyncracies to the calling of a game.

In the not too distant future, we’ll still have a need for umps, I just don’t think we’ll need them calling balls and strikes.

ESPN.com – MLB – Box Score

ESPN.com – MLB – Box Score

This wasn’t the Mike Hampton that the Braves hope emerges. There’s really no way to argue definitively one way or the other. History suggests that players who leave Coors rebound in the ways you’d expect. Battered pitchers get more effective. Muscled up hitters take a hit (though not as big as their Coors-Road splits suggest).

But the numbers argue that Hampton was not as good a pitcher as his results the two years before he headed for the Rockies. Too many walks, not enough strikeouts, is the rap.

It looks to me like he’ll be a good pitcher again, in time. Maybe not as effective as he was in Houston and NY, but good enough to help any team. But it wouldn’t be shocking if I turned out to be wrong. And no matter which way it goes, a judgment won’t be rendered for a while.