SI.com – Writers – Verducci’s Mailbag: Indians stood their ground – Thursday April 8, 2004 6:13PM

SI.com – Writers – Verducci’s Mailbag: Indians stood their ground – Thursday April 8, 2004 6:13PM

I was just reading the Sports Illustrated Baseball Preview Issue, with it’s big Stats takeout. The problem is that so much of the info is so 1984, which is when Bill James invented much of this stuff, that it’s hard to take seriously.

But then you read Verducci’s story about clutch hitting and realize he’s evaluating the ability to hit in the clutch by using batting average! That’s so 1983!

I don’t know that using SLG or OPS would change the results (the way they did disputing Voros McCracken’s contention that pitchers don’t control batter outcomes on balls in play), but if you’re going to spend many pages talking about the validity of OBP and OPS and SLG and their advantage over AVG, don’t you think you should use them to look at clutch hitting?

TOUT WARS: Battle of the Experts

TOUT WARS: Battle of the Idiots

One of the reasons we play in the so-called experts league Tout Wars is to provide actual draft 5×5 prices before the season starts. But we keep playing after the season starts, in part because we’re competitive and we’re playing for expert bragging rights, and also to provide claims and roster move information each week. For those following along at home our weekly claims and transaction deadline is Friday at 5pm.

It’s not posted yet but each week there will be posted at the Tout Wars site a listing of FAAB moves.

Yesterday was our first claims period and there was a very big fish available: Milton Bradley. Our FAAB is 100 units and the Game claimed all of Roger Anderson’s beans. The problem with this is that Anderson was in the sixth or seventh draft position, meaning that five or six teams did not go all in. And the fact that Roger did is a little insulting, since going in was so clearly the right thing to do.

It would have been the right thing to do for three reasons: Firstly, there is unlikely to be another player to come over to the NL during the course of the year who will make as large an impact as Bradley. Better players may come over, but not play for as long a time. Secondly, in Tout Wars we allow $0 bids, so just because you spend all your FAAB you can still acquire players. Thirdly, in Tout Wars we allow the trading of FAAB, so just because you’re out of it now doesn’t mean you’ll never have FAAB again.

The only reason not to go all in on Bradley would be if you had a team of killer hitting and no pitching. But even then, Bradley would have more value as trade bait than all the FAAB in the world would.

At this early point in the season my team is in 12th place (that’s next to last), and for some reason that I cannot fathom now I bid $81. That was idiotic. I was an idiot. I have no excuse. Roger Anderson’s insult hits me squarely, full force.

If you have a chance to get Bradley this week you should spend whatever it takes. In a league that doesn’t allow $0 bids it may not be all in, but I’d say even then it’s probably best to go for it. Adding a fulltime hitter at the start of the season is a huge advantage.

My advice is: Don’t be an idiot.

ESPN.com – MLB – BOXSCORE

ESPN.com – MLB – Angels-Seattle in fourth inning

It’s only two games, but the Angels are playing the pitching rich Seattles in a pitchers park and have clubbed wunderelder Jamie Moyer and youthful ace Joel Pineiro. It is too early for even Steve Trachsel acolytes to freak out, but if Garret Anderson is healthy the Angels have a powerful lineup. And good pitching.

Note also that Troy Glaus stole a base, as good a sign for his fans as any I can imagine.

ESPN.com – MLB – Report: Twins rookie Mauer needs knee surgery

ESPN.com – MLB – Report: Twins rookie Mauer needs knee surgery

Does this feed the fire of those who say that Mauer is too tall to survive as a catcher? I should say so. I haven’t looked at the issue closely enough to have a strong opinion about it, but it seems likely to me that there will always be room for exceptions to such broad conclusions. So maybe most tall guys don’t become catchers because there are better roles for tall guys than crouching, but that doesn’t mean that a tall guy couldn’t do the job.

Or that all those previous tall guys who didn’t catch didn’t catch because of the wear and tear of catching.

Mauer out for three weeks isn’t a big deal. Mauer need surgery after two big league games is. Henry Blanco will see more playing time and with Matt LeCroy behind the plate more Mike Cuddyer will get more time at DH. But three weeks seems way longer at the start of the season than in July, so Mauer owners shouldn’t panic.

Not yet, anyway.

ESPN.com – MLB – MLB GAME LOG

ESPN.com – MLB – MLB GAME LOG:

“KANSAS CITY 9TH
-Bottom of the 9th inning
-J Randa walked.
-J Randa to second on passed ball by S Alomar Jr.
-K Harvey walked.
-B Koch relieved C Politte.
-B Santiago doubled to deep left, J Randa scored, K Harvey to third.
-A Guiel struck out swinging.
-M Stairs hit for T Graffanino.
-D Marte relieved B Koch.
-M Lopez hit for M Stairs.
-M Lopez homered to center, K Harvey and B Santiago scored.
-A Berroa singled to left.
-C Beltran homered to left, A Berroa scored.

6 runs, 4 hits, 0 errors
Chicago Sox 7, Kansas City 9

The key thing is that Koch was removed before the go-ahead run was on base, simply to avoid the matchup with Stairs. It isn’t that Koch can’t get lefties out so much as that Stairs can’t hit lefties at all.

Mendy Lopez showed new power last year and the trend continues. It’s too soon for White Sox bullpen followers to panic, but this was a frightening beginning.