The World’s Greatest Baseball Performance Projection System
Those of us who spend a lot of time making baseball projections have to tip our cap to Marcel the Projection Monkey. Marcel doesn’t spend that much time, even though time doesn’t mean that much to monkeys.
The point of Marcel the Monkey projections is that most of the information a projection system can contain is available in three year weighted numbers, with factors that adjust for age.
Those of us who make better projections (usually) than Marcel have to be humbled by how close he comes to besting us.