In a regular 10 category head to head dynasty league would you keep Yasiel Puig over Ryan Braun?
TALE OF THE TAPE
Age: Puig 26, Braun 33.
2016 Rotoman Price: Puig $21, Braun $26
CBS/LABR Prices: Puig $23/$27, Braun $28/$26
For this year, Braun is the clear winner. But dynasty is tough.
Braun is in the decline phase. He might have a few more productive years, but you can’t count on that. He should be very solid this year, but the wheels can come off at any time.
Puig, on the other hand, is just entering his prime. He’s coming off a dismal season, due to injuries, but also indicative of some laxness of approach to conditioning and training. His stolen base effectiveness indicates that despite his speed he’s not going to be a big basestealer, which knocks him down a peg, too. He’s supposedly in shape, but dental surgery got him off to a slow start in camp this year.
There is a not insignificant chance that Puig will crash and burn in the next couple of years, but there is a much greater chance that Braun will run out of gas in the next 3-5 years.
And Puig will get the chance to restore his career and have a career year that will beggar anything that can be expected from Braun at this point.
It’s risky, but the upside lies with Puig.
Sincerely,
