Fantasy Baseball: Moonlight (03/07/2002)

Hey Rotoman–Advice question. 12 team, NL only, 5×5, $260 cap.

Our roster cut date is tomorrow, and I have to make a decision about Lee Stevens. I have him at $14, and prior to the Galarraga signing, I had projected him at $16.

I see him losing about 35 percent of his playing time, or more, to Galarraga, which makes his value in the $8 range, which tells me he should be cut.

Do you see this similarly, or am I reading to much into the big cat’s return to Montreal?

Well, the addition of Andres Galarraga has to reduce Lee Stevens’ value, because apart from pinch-hitting there is no place else for le Chat Grande to play. How much? Presumably Stevens won’t play against lefties at all, which would cost him 150 of 500 AB, or about 30 percent.

I thought perhaps Stevens was less productive against lefties, which would mean the reduction in playing time might not hurt him as much as it appeared, but while he only hit 20 percent of his homers against lefties, he did drive in 30 percent of his RBI against them.

So, while I wouldn’t say Stevens’ value drops from $16 to $8, I would say it’s now definitely below $14 (more like $10).