I spent some time yesterday reading accounts of the final play in the Padres-Rockies playoff and talking to friends, trying to reconcile the various strands. For instance, mightn’t Brian Giles’ looping throw been an indication that he didn’t think Holliday would run with no outs? Certainly Holliday shouldn’t have.
David Pinto seems to have done the same thing and his explanation is similar to what I’d worked out.