You can read Tom’s recounting here.
My projections scored in the top half in 2009, but fell off this year, ending up in the lower part of the middle group. I haven’t broken down what happened yet, but reading through the comments and results it seems that using the community playing time forecasts in the future might be a good idea. Many of the leaders are using either the Fangraphs or The Book playing time forecasts, capitalizing on the crowd’s ability to incorporate localized information. This isn’t a luxury we have in February, but as this information becomes available in March, it makes sense to make more use of it.
I’d like to point out that for the second year in a row John Eric Hanson won. Congratulations John!