To be honest, prospect lists are suspect. I don’t know any minor league expert who has actually seen all the players he writes about. And to their credit, the best writers (I like Sickels and Callis, but when I listen to McCamey I’m charmed) let you know who they’ve seen and who’s bubbling up through some statistical filter.
Rob’s list is of interest because it seems unassailable in it’s intelligence. I’m pretty sure Rob would agree that these lists offer little real guidence for future performance. The interesting reason is why:
Because nobody knows. Or maybe it’s better said that we all know a little.