Minimum Horizon Two Years

Long Bets

This site books bets on public issues with a long time frame. Today the lead bet is whether there will be bioterror event of 1M or more casualties by 2020. At first I thought this might be a good place to set up a discussion about Barry Bonds’ Hall of Fame chances, but I suspect that wouldn’t pass the importance threshhold. So I link to the site simply because it’s out there.